That’s an interesting article going around recently: “Looking at active installed base: Symbian easily third, WP to overtake by 2014?“. Have to comment a bit:
- It is an interesting approach – choosing “active” devices that are not older than 2-3 years. Makes sense, as most of us would have a chance to switch their devices on this schedule. At the same time the chart for 2 vs. 3 years are not that much different (except for Symbian) – so why show both?
- The title seems misleading – “WP to overtake” is to indicate that Windows Phone may be the 3rd platform in 2014. And it not only would have to overtake BlackBerry, but Symbian too.
- Is WP really going to be the 3rd platform? Indeed seems to depend on weak BB10 numbers. Does not seem like the best perspective for Microsoft – relying on BlackBerry doing bad means that Windows Phone may not be strong enough platform to perform on its own.
- “data compiled from Gartner, IDC and Canalys” – would be great to have more concrete data. How it was calculated etc.
- “Windows Phone, by far the newest mobile OS” – do we mean here that WP7 was not a continuation of Windows Mobile?